Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 5 March 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists four fixtures on Friday 5 March 2027. Saint Etienne vs Guingamp tops the list at 68% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 4, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
: 19:00
Guingamp
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
: 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
: 19:00
Waalwijk
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
: 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 4 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 5 March 2027?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Saint Etienne vs Guingamp at 68% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.