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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 24 January 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven matches clear our threshold on Sunday 24 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Inter vs Venezia at 74% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Inter
: 17:30
Venezia
Win 74%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 16:00
Real Betis
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
: 16:00
ADO Den Haag
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
: 16:00
Malaga
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
: 16:00
Cambuur
Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
: 16:00
Rio Ave
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 56%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
: 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica
: 16:00
Casa Pia
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
: 16:00
Utrecht
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 75%
#10 Süper Lig · Turkey
Trabzonspor
: 12:00
Kasımpaşa
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A · Italy
AS Roma
: 17:30
Udinese
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 24 January 2027?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Inter vs Venezia at 74% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.