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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Saturday 23 January 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 23 January 2027. Union St. Gilloise vs SK Beveren sits top on 87% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Jupiler Pro League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
– : – 16:00
SK Beveren
Win 87%
Draw 8%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
– : – 20:00
ADO Den Haag
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 71%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
– : – 16:00
Wolfsberger AC
Win 78%
Draw 17%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 67%
#4 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
– : – 16:00
RAAL La Louvière
Win 77%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos
– : – 16:00
Atromitos
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 64%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
– : – 16:00
Antwerp
Win 72%
Draw 15%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
– : – 16:00
Levadiakos
Win 68%
Draw 24%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 68% Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 63%
#8 Championship · England
Birmingham
– : – 15:00
Lincoln
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#9 Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain
– : – 19:45
Auxerre
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
– : – 16:00
Zulte Waregem
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#11 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent
– : – 16:00
Cercle Brugge
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Premier League · England
Brighton
– : – 15:00
Manchester City
Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#13 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
– : – 17:45
PEC Zwolle
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 League One · England
Sheffield Wednesday
– : – 15:00
Doncaster
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Premier League · England
Arsenal
– : – 15:00
Newcastle
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#16 League Two · England
Newport County
– : – 15:00
Cheltenham
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 League One · England
Wycombe
– : – 15:00
AFC Wimbledon
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 League Two · England
Swindon Town
– : – 15:00
Bristol Rovers
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League Two · England
Port Vale
– : – 15:00
York
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#20 League Two · England
Accrington ST
– : – 15:00
Rochdale
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 23 January 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Union St. Gilloise vs SK Beveren at 87% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.