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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 15 May 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 15 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Pacific FC vs FC Edmonton at 68% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
3 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 0 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
5 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 2 FT
Apollon Smirnis
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 3 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
0 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#13 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
3 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 15 May 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pacific FC vs FC Edmonton at 68% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.