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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 2 April 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 April 2022. Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon sits top on 75% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the home win market — 68%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 53%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
FC Mariupol
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%
#12 League One Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 League One Β· England
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
3 : 2 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
2 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
0 : 0 FT
Bordeaux
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#18 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 4 FT
Brentford
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 2 FT
Zlin
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 2 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.