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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 20 November 2021

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 20 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Stromsgodset vs Mjondalen at 82% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 58%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Mjondalen
Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Championship Β· England
Fulham
4 : 1 FT
Barnsley
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 9%
BTTS No 59% Fulham Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
0 : 0 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Sandefjord
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 0 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 League Two Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 63%
Draw 27%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 59%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
1 : 1 FT
Haugesund
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 League One Β· England
Rotherham
3 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
1 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 3 FT
Seraing United
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
ODD Ballklubb
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 1 FT
Ural
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 67% Krylia Sovetov Clean Sheet 57%
#19 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 20 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Stromsgodset vs Mjondalen at 82% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.