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Half Time / Full Time Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest HT/FT probability β€” Sunday 4 January 2026

Half Time / Full Time needs the right result at the break and at the final whistle β€” nine possible outcomes, from Home/Home to Away/Away. Our prediction model models each half separately using the share of goals each league scores before half-time, then scales the grid to agree with its full-time result probabilities. Only fixtures whose most likely outcome reaches 30%+ are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 4 January 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Marseille vs Nantes (Marseille / Marseille) at 51% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the HT/FT market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille / Marseille 51%
Marseille
0 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient / Lorient 50%
Lorient
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 73%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Paris Saint Germain / Paris Saint Germain 48%
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC / Al-Hilal Saudi FC 42%
Damac
0 : 2 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 16%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 League One Β· England Bolton / Bolton 41%
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League One Β· England Wycombe / Wycombe 38%
Wycombe
2 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain Alaves / Alaves 38%
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Oviedo
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 58%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC / Al-Qadisiyah FC 36%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Premier League Β· England Manchester City / Manchester City 35%
Manchester City
1 : 1 FT
Chelsea
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia NEOM / NEOM 35%
Al-Hazm
1 : 2 FT
NEOM
Win 20%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 League One Β· England Huddersfield / Huddersfield 35%
Huddersfield
2 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#12 Championship Β· England QPR / QPR 34%
QPR
3 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 League One Β· England Blackpool / Blackpool 34%
Blackpool
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto / FC Porto 32%
Santa Clara
0 : 1 FT
FC Porto
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla / Sevilla 32%
Sevilla
0 : 3 FT
Levante
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#16 League Two Β· England Cheltenham / Cheltenham 32%
Cheltenham
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Inter / Inter 32%
Inter
3 : 1 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#18 League Two Β· England Milton Keynes Dons / Milton Keynes Dons 31%
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 2 FT
Chesterfield
Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by HT/FT probability (a 30% or higher probability on the single most likely HT/FT outcome). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Half Time / Full Time β€” common questions

What does the Half Time / Full Time market mean?

Half Time / Full Time settles on whether a match matches the selected result at both half-time and full-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate HT/FT probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The HT/FT probability shown here is the most likely of the nine half-time/full-time combinations, modelling each half separately from the league's measured first-half share of goals and scaled to match the full-time result probabilities. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Half Time / Full Time on Sunday 4 January 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Nantes (Marseille / Marseille) at 51% HT/FT probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher probability on the single most likely HT/FT outcome, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these HT/FT predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.