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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Toumba Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

60%

PAOK

1.66

25%

Draw

4.04

15%

Aris Thessalonikis

6.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

PAOK xG

Total xG

2.24

0.65

Aris Thessalonikis xG

60%
25%
15%
PAOKDrawAris Thessalonikis

1.66

60%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

6.73

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.64

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

52%

PAOK

1.91

20%

Aris Thessalonikis

4.94

Win to Nil

32%

PAOK

3.16

3%

Aris Thessalonikis

33.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 6.9 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 17.0 10.9 3.5 0.8 0.1
2 13.5 8.7 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 7.2 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.1
4 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 0.9 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.597
λ Away (xG) 0.645
Total xG 2.242
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.227
PAOK attack strength 1.199
PAOK defence strength 0.628
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.837
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.934
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38