Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC – Match Report

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dominant Olympiakos Piraeus run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Volos NFC.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Olympiakos Piraeus beat Volos NFC 3-0 at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Regular Season - 14, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Olympiakos Piraeus 1.53 xG and Volos NFC 1.11 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Olympiakos Piraeus beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Volos NFC landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.34 / defence 0.90 against Volos NFC attack 1.00 / defence 0.90, drawn from 39/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Olympiakos Piraeus 45% | Draw 29% | Volos NFC 26%, with Olympiakos Piraeus to win its most likely call at 45%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Olympiakos Piraeus 61%, Volos NFC 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Olympiakos Piraeus's trading profile (46 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.

Volos NFC's trading profile (46 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, Olympiakos Piraeus arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.02. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Olympiakos Piraeus (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Volos NFC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.86 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.48 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights