Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Olympiakos Piraeus's attacking strength (1.34x league average) is weighed against Volos NFC's defensive record (0.90x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.53. The same calculation in reverse, Volos NFC's attack versus Olympiakos Piraeus's defence, projects 1.11 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 39/39 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.7%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.3%), 2-1 (9.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
45%
2.21
29%
3.51
26%
3.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus xG
Total xG
2.64
1.11
Volos NFC xG
2.21
45%
Home win
3.51
29%
Draw
3.82
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
22%
4.61
Win to Nil
15%
6.73
6%
17.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC expected to score?
The model projects 1.53 expected goals for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.11 for Volos NFC, a combined total of 2.64.
How confident is the prediction model for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.