Olympiakos Piraeus 3-0 Volos NFC – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model favours Olympiakos Piraeus (45%) — form and H2H data both point in the same direction as Olympiakos Piraeus face Volos NFC.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Super League 1 encounter, Regular Season - 14 sees Volos NFC travel to Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki to take on Olympiakos Piraeus. The game is scheduled for Saturday 7 December 2024, 15:00 UTC.
Form Guide
Olympiakos Piraeus — All Games: 5W 3D 2L from 10 Super League 1 outings this season, averaging 1.80 points per game. Last five: L W W W W. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 0.90 conceded. 4 clean sheets in 10 games (40%) reflects a solid defensive base. This season is still relatively young for Olympiakos Piraeus, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Olympiakos Piraeus's home record at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki: 8W 2D 0L from 10 Super League 1 appearances (2.60 PPG). They are averaging 2.30 goals per home game — a prolific scoring rate in front of their own fans. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture. Their home PPG of 2.60 is noticeably stronger than their overall 1.80 — Olympiakos Piraeus are significantly better at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki than their overall form suggests.
Across all Super League 1 games this season, Volos NFC have recorded 3W 2D 5L from 10 outings — 1.10 PPG. Last five: W L L W D. Their scoring rate of 0.80 per game is modest, conceding 1.30 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for Volos NFC, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Super League 1 this season, Volos NFC have posted 6W 1D 3L from 10 away outings — 1.90 PPG. Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Their away PPG of 1.90 exceeds their overall 1.10 — they actually perform better on the road than their aggregate form implies.
On current form, Olympiakos Piraeus have the edge — a 0.70 PPG advantage (1.80 vs 1.10) represents a meaningful gap. That momentum makes them the form-based pick, though if the outright price looks short, Draw No Bet is worth comparing.
H2H Record
The fixture history tells a clear story: Olympiakos Piraeus have dominated this rivalry, winning 5 of 6 past contests while Volos NFC have managed just 0 wins.
Goals have been a feature of this fixture. The last 6 meetings have averaged 3.5 per game — a rate that gives the Over 2.5 market a solid historical foundation. The most recent clash, on 17 Aug 2024, ended 2–0 with Olympiakos Piraeus winning.
From a betting standpoint, the H2H backs both Olympiakos Piraeus and goals. The home side's 5 wins from 6 meetings, combined with an average of 3.5 goals per game, gives the home win and Over 2.5 combination a historically grounded case.
In-Play Data
Olympiakos Piraeus trading profile (46 games, 21 at home): they score before half-time in 85% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 81% of games (home games).
Volos NFC trading profile (46 games, 21 at away): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 93% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 57% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 38% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 43% of games (away games); they fail to score in 33% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Olympiakos Piraeus 54% versus Volos NFC 52%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Olympiakos Piraeus 61% | Volos NFC 52%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Olympiakos Piraeus 1.53 xG and Volos NFC 1.11 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.340 / defence 0.900 | Volos NFC attack 1.002 / defence 0.900. League average goals — home 1.266 / away 1.236. Olympiakos Piraeus carry an above-average attack strength of 1.340 — their λ of 1.53 reflects genuine attacking quality above the league norm. Data: 39 Olympiakos Piraeus games / 39 Volos NFC games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus 45% | Draw 29% | Volos NFC 26%. Fair-value odds: Olympiakos Piraeus 2.22 | Draw 3.45 | Volos NFC 3.85. Olympiakos Piraeus hold a narrow Poisson edge at 45% — the draw (29%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 49% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.64. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 49%/51% — the total xG of 2.64 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Olympiakos Piraeus as the most likely outcome at 45% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 29% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Olympiakos Piraeus offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.64 combined xG gives a 49% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though H2H averaging only 3.5 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates are neutral: Olympiakos Piraeus 60% | Volos NFC 40%.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC | Competition: Super League 1, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki • Kick-off: Saturday 7 Dec 2024, 15:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Olympiakos Piraeus 45% | Draw 29% | Volos NFC 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 49% | BTTS 54% | xG Olympiakos Piraeus 1.53 / Volos NFC 1.11 • Poisson strength factors: Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.340 / def 0.900 | Volos NFC attack 1.002 / def 0.900 | league avg home 1.266 / away 1.236 • Poisson stance: Olympiakos Piraeus (45%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus xG
Expected Goals
1.11
Volos NFC xG
54%
BTTS
76%
Over 1.5
49%
Over 2.5
27%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC kick off?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC kicked off at 15:00 on Saturday 7 December 2024 at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki.
What was the final score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Olympiakos Piraeus 3 - 0 Volos NFC.
Where is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC being played?
The match is being played at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki.
What competition is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC part of?
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Super League 1 (Greece).
Who is favourite to win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Our statistical model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a 45% chance of winning, Volos NFC a 26% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw — making Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite.
Will both teams score in Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC will score (BTTS).
Will Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 49%.
What is the head-to-head record between Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC?
Record (6 meetings): Olympiakos Piraeus 5W | Draws 1 | Volos NFC 0W.
What form are Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC in?
Olympiakos Piraeus (all comps): 5W-3D-2L in 10 | 1.80 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 0.90 | L5 L-W-W-W-W. Volos NFC (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 0.80 / GA 1.30 | L5 W-L-L-W-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Olympiakos Piraeus's attacking strength (1.34x league average) is weighed against Volos NFC's defensive record (0.90x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.53. The same calculation in reverse, Volos NFC's attack versus Olympiakos Piraeus's defence, projects 1.11 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 39/39 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 13.7%. Close behind: 1-0 (9.3%), 2-1 (9.3%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
45%
2.21
29%
3.51
26%
3.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.1%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus xG
Total xG
2.64
1.11
Volos NFC xG
2.21
45%
Home win
3.51
29%
Draw
3.82
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
74%
Over 1.5
1.35
26%
Under 1.5
3.85
49%
Over 2.5
2.04
51%
Under 2.5
1.96
27%
Over 3.5
3.70
73%
Under 3.5
1.37
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
22%
4.61
Win to Nil
15%
6.73
6%
17.60
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.9 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.3 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.7%.
How many goals are Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC expected to score?
The model projects 1.53 expected goals for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1.11 for Volos NFC, a combined total of 2.64.
How confident is the prediction model for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 45%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 46 outings, Olympiakos Piraeus have picked up 2.02 PPG on a 28W 9D 9L record — L-W-W-W-W across the most recent five. The sample for Olympiakos Piraeus is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Volos NFC's form line: 12W 11D 23L from 46 games, 1.02 PPG, last five W-L-L-W-D. The sample for Volos NFC is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
Put side by side, Olympiakos Piraeus are the form team by 1.00 points per game — a gap wide enough to matter, though form alone rarely tells the whole story against Volos NFC.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Olympiakos Piraeus have posted 2.29 PPG from 21 outings (15W 3D 3L).
On the road, Volos NFC have gone 7W 4D 10L from 21 away games — 1.19 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Olympiakos Piraeus come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
Olympiakos Piraeus are averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game recently; Volos NFC are on 1.00 scored and 1.65 conceded.
Last 46 Results — Super League 1
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Olympiakos Piraeus
Blended
Volos NFC
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC in coming into this match?
Olympiakos Piraeus have gone 28W 9D 9L in their last 46 games (2.02 PPG), while Volos NFC have gone 12W 11D 23L in their last 46 (1.02 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Olympiakos Piraeus at home or Volos NFC away?
Olympiakos Piraeus's home record (2.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Olympiakos Piraeus at home: 2.29 PPG; Volos NFC away: 1.19 PPG.
Have Olympiakos Piraeus or Volos NFC been keeping clean sheets recently?
Olympiakos Piraeus have kept a clean sheet in 35% of their recent games, Volos NFC in 17%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC runs to 10 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to January 2023. Every recorded meeting has come in Super League 1. The two were last together as recently as 5 September 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 30 Apr 2023, when Olympiakos Piraeus won 5-0 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
Olympiakos Piraeus's record when hosting Volos NFC specifically: 4W 0D 0L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 10 Meetings
8
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
Draws
0
Volos NFC
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC?
From 10 meetings on record, Olympiakos Piraeus have won 8, Volos NFC have won 0, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC last play each other?
They last met on 5 September 2026, when Volos NFC 1-1 Olympiakos Piraeus.
Who has won more matches between Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC?
Olympiakos Piraeus have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Olympiakos Piraeus are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 85% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 60% of the time.
Volos NFC are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Olympiakos Piraeus 67%, Volos NFC 38% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 81% for Olympiakos Piraeus and 43% for Volos NFC. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 48% and 10% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Olympiakos Piraeus keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Volos NFC in 38%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Olympiakos Piraeus home games / Volos NFC away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Olympiakos Piraeus play Volos NFC?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 67% of Olympiakos Piraeus's recent matches and 38% of Volos NFC's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Volos NFC usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 81% of Olympiakos Piraeus's matches and 43% of Volos NFC's.
Do Olympiakos Piraeus and Volos NFC tend to score early?
Olympiakos Piraeus have had a goal before half-time in 85% of their recent matches, Volos NFC in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Dominant Olympiakos Piraeus run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Volos NFC.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Olympiakos Piraeus beat Volos NFC 3-0 at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Regular Season - 14, in the Super League 1. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Olympiakos Piraeus 1.53 xG and Volos NFC 1.11 xG, a combined 2.64. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Olympiakos Piraeus beat their projection by 1.5 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Volos NFC landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Olympiakos Piraeus attack 1.34 / defence 0.90 against Volos NFC attack 1.00 / defence 0.90, drawn from 39/39 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Olympiakos Piraeus 45% | Draw 29% | Volos NFC 26%, with Olympiakos Piraeus to win its most likely call at 45%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 49%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Olympiakos Piraeus 61%, Volos NFC 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Olympiakos Piraeus's trading profile (46 games, 21 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.
Volos NFC's trading profile (46 games, 21 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 52% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Olympiakos Piraeus arrived the stronger side — 2.02 PPG against 1.02. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Olympiakos Piraeus (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. Volos NFC (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.86 scoring average — below par going forward and shipped 3 against a 1.48 concession average — a leakier day than usual.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.