Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

AEL FC Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aris Thessalonikis Win

25%

Larisa

3.99

29%

Draw

3.40

46%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Larisa xG

Total xG

2.28

1.35

Aris Thessalonikis xG

25%
29%
46%
LarisaDrawAris Thessalonikis

3.99

25%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.20

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

26%

Larisa

3.85

39%

Aris Thessalonikis

2.54

Win to Nil

7%

Larisa

15.36

18%

Aris Thessalonikis

5.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 13.8 9.3 4.2 1.4 0.4
1 9.5 12.9 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.4 6.0 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.932
λ Away (xG) 1.348
Total xG 2.280
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.121
Larisa attack strength 0.711
Larisa defence strength 1.312
Aris Thessalonikis attack strength 0.917
Aris Thessalonikis defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 42