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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

15:30

Venue

AEL FC Arena

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AEK Athens FC Win

24%

Larisa

4.23

30%

Draw

3.36

47%

AEK Athens FC

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

16.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.78

Larisa xG

Total xG

2.01

1.23

AEK Athens FC xG

24%
30%
47%
LarisaDrawAEK Athens FC

4.23

24%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

29%

Larisa

3.40

46%

AEK Athens FC

2.18

Win to Nil

7%

Larisa

14.41

21%

AEK Athens FC

4.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.5 16.5 10.1 4.1 1.3 0.3
1 10.5 12.9 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 4.1 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.781
λ Away (xG) 1.225
Total xG 2.006
League avg home goals 1.206
League avg away goals 1.100
Larisa attack strength 0.814
Larisa defence strength 1.122
AEK Athens FC attack strength 0.993
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.795
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 29