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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Tuesday 3 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 3 February 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Qadisiyah FC at 3.36 in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 3.36 down to 2.51, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the goal fest market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
1 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#7 League Two Β· England
Barnet
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
0 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Championship Β· England
Hull City
0 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Taawon
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#12 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Tuesday 3 February 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Qadisiyah FC at 3.36 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.