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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Sunday 25 January 2026

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 25 January 2026. Feyenoord vs Heracles sits top on 4.25 in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 4.25 down to 2.79, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the goal fest market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
4 : 2 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
4 : 1 FT
BSC Young Boys
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 19%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Oviedo
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 75%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Najma
1 : 3 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 : 3 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
0 : 1 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 37%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
4 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
0 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 71%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC ST. Gallen
2 : 4 FT
Servette FC
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 13%
Draw 19%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
1 : 4 FT
Nice
Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 3 FT
Manchester United
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Konyaspor
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
3 : 4 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 32%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga
5 : 0 FT
Alverca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 25 January 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Feyenoord vs Heracles at 4.25 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.