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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Sunday 2 November 2025

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 November 2025. SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth sits top on 4.00 in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 4.00 down to 3.32, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the goal fest market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 1 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
✓ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Ligue 1 · France
Nantes
0 : 2 FT
Metz
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
8 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Stromsgodset
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 17%
Draw 19%
✓ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 2 FT
Waalwijk
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#7 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Uthai Thani
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Premier League · England
Manchester City
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
✓ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
✓ Win 50%
Draw 21%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
6 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
✓ Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 67%
#11 Super League · Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 51%
Draw 21%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Levante
1 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 20%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#13 Ligue 1 · France
Toulouse
0 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 3 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29
0 : 0 FT
Lyon
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#16 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 0 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#17 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
4 : 1 FT
Ried
✓ Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 2 FT
Motor Lublin
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
3 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#20 Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 3 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 18%
Draw 20%
✓ Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Sunday 2 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Paderborn 07 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 4.00 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.