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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Tuesday 2 April 2024

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 2 April 2024. Port FC vs Sukhothai FC sits top on 4.48 in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 4.48 down to 2.59, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the goal fest market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 12%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 71%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
0 : 8 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 1 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 0 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
1 : 1 FT
Wolves
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 4 FT
Rizespor
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 3 FT
Al Taawon
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#18 League One Β· England
Portsmouth
2 : 2 FT
Derby
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 League Two Β· England
Doncaster
1 : 0 FT
Wrexham
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Prachuap
2 : 1 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Tuesday 2 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Sukhothai FC at 4.48 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.