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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals β€” Monday 29 November 2021

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) β€” making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 29 November 2021. Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk sits top on 3.39 in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 3.39 down to 2.51, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the goal fest market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
3 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Crotone
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
FC UFA
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest β€” common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Monday 29 November 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk at 3.39 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.