Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Weserstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

23%

Werder Bremen

4.44

23%

Draw

4.34

54%

Borussia Dortmund

1.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Werder Bremen xG

Total xG

2.89

1.81

Borussia Dortmund xG

23%
23%
54%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund

4.44

23%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

1.84

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

16%

Werder Bremen

6.10

34%

Borussia Dortmund

2.94

Win to Nil

4%

Werder Bremen

27.09

19%

Borussia Dortmund

5.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 10.1 9.1 5.5 2.5 0.9
1 6.0 10.9 9.8 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.2 5.9 5.3 3.2 1.4 0.5
3 1.2 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.079
λ Away (xG) 1.808
Total xG 2.887
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.796
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.157
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.047
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.788
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67