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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Final

Kick-off

Thu 21 May 2026

19:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

39%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.59

26%

Draw

3.78

35%

SC Paderborn 07

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

2.67

1.29

SC Paderborn 07 xG

39%
26%
35%
VfL WolfsburgDrawSC Paderborn 07

2.59

39%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

27%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.64

25%

SC Paderborn 07

3.95

Win to Nil

11%

VfL Wolfsburg

9.43

9%

SC Paderborn 07

11.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.0 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 12.3 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.5 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 3.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.374
λ Away (xG) 1.293
Total xG 2.667
League avg home goals 1.757
League avg away goals 1.470
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.680
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.035
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 0.850
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 0