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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

21%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.71

22%

Draw

4.50

57%

Borussia Dortmund

1.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

1 – 3

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.61

2.25

Borussia Dortmund xG

21%
22%
57%
VfL WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund

4.71

21%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

1.77

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.09

Clean Sheet

11%

VfL Wolfsburg

9.52

26%

Borussia Dortmund

3.88

Win to Nil

2%

VfL Wolfsburg

44.78

15%

Borussia Dortmund

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 6.1 6.9 5.2 2.9 1.3
1 3.7 8.3 9.3 7.0 3.9 1.8
2 2.5 5.6 6.3 4.7 2.7 1.2
3 1.1 2.5 2.9 2.1 1.2 0.5
4 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 2.253
Total xG 3.610
League avg home goals 1.635
League avg away goals 1.461
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 1.015
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.258
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.226
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.818
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54