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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

14:30

Venue

Volkswagen Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

29%

VfL Wolfsburg

3.47

21%

Draw

4.83

50%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.5%

Draw

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

VfL Wolfsburg xG

Total xG

3.90

2.23

Bayer Leverkusen xG

29%
21%
50%
VfL WolfsburgDrawBayer Leverkusen

3.47

29%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

1.98

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

55%

Over 3.5

1.82

45%

Under 3.5

2.22

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.38

27%

BTTS No

3.67

Clean Sheet

11%

VfL Wolfsburg

9.33

19%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.32

Win to Nil

3%

VfL Wolfsburg

32.40

9%

Bayer Leverkusen

10.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 4.5 5.0 3.7 2.1 0.9
1 3.4 7.5 8.4 6.3 3.5 1.6
2 2.8 6.3 7.0 5.2 2.9 1.3
3 1.6 3.5 3.9 2.9 1.6 0.7
4 0.7 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3
5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.671
λ Away (xG) 2.233
Total xG 3.904
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.446
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.858
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.253
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.232
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44