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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

14:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

64%

VfB Stuttgart

1.57

19%

Draw

5.20

17%

SC Freiburg

5.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.28

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

3.39

1.11

SC Freiburg xG

64%
19%
17%
VfB StuttgartDrawSC Freiburg

1.57

64%

Home win

5.20

19%

Draw

5.85

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

33%

VfB Stuttgart

3.03

10%

SC Freiburg

9.80

Win to Nil

21%

VfB Stuttgart

4.75

2%

SC Freiburg

57.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.7 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.7 8.5 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 6.7 7.4 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.8 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.282
λ Away (xG) 1.107
Total xG 3.389
League avg home goals 1.780
League avg away goals 1.415
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.075
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.022
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.766
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51