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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

18:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

41%

VfB Stuttgart

2.43

26%

Draw

3.79

32%

RB Leipzig

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.84

1.32

RB Leipzig xG

41%
26%
32%
VfB StuttgartDrawRB Leipzig

2.43

41%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

27%

VfB Stuttgart

3.75

22%

RB Leipzig

4.55

Win to Nil

11%

VfB Stuttgart

9.10

7%

RB Leipzig

14.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.7 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 8.9 11.7 7.8 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.9 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.4 4.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.515
λ Away (xG) 1.321
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.645
League avg away goals 1.373
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.085
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.870
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.106
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.849
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59