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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

MHPArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

49%

VfB Stuttgart

2.04

29%

Draw

3.50

22%

1. FC Köln

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

VfB Stuttgart xG

Total xG

2.60

1.01

1. FC Köln xG

49%
29%
22%
VfB StuttgartDraw1. FC Köln

2.04

49%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

36%

VfB Stuttgart

2.75

20%

1. FC Köln

4.88

Win to Nil

18%

VfB Stuttgart

5.62

5%

1. FC Köln

21.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.9 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 5.0 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.597
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.393
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 0.839
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 0.917
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.792
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 21