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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

49%

Union Berlin

2.06

28%

Draw

3.61

24%

Werder Bremen

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.41

0.94

Werder Bremen xG

49%
28%
24%
Union BerlinDrawWerder Bremen

2.06

49%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

39%

Union Berlin

2.57

23%

Werder Bremen

4.33

Win to Nil

19%

Union Berlin

5.29

5%

Werder Bremen

18.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.5 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.2 12.4 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 9.1 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.465
λ Away (xG) 0.945
Total xG 2.410
League avg home goals 1.707
League avg away goals 1.378
Union Berlin attack strength 0.852
Union Berlin defence strength 0.948
Werder Bremen attack strength 0.724
Werder Bremen defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58