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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Wed 15 Jan 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

57%

Union Berlin

1.77

23%

Draw

4.30

20%

FC Augsburg

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.77

0.98

FC Augsburg xG

57%
23%
20%
Union BerlinDrawFC Augsburg

1.77

57%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

38%

Union Berlin

2.65

17%

FC Augsburg

6.04

Win to Nil

21%

Union Berlin

4.69

3%

FC Augsburg

29.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.2 10.9 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.799
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.775
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.418
Union Berlin attack strength 0.778
Union Berlin defence strength 0.891
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.772
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.308
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50