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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

34%

Union Berlin

2.93

27%

Draw

3.74

39%

Borussia Dortmund

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

3.20

1.66

Borussia Dortmund xG

34%
27%
39%
Union BerlinDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.93

34%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

19%

Union Berlin

5.25

21%

Borussia Dortmund

4.67

Win to Nil

6%

Union Berlin

15.40

8%

Borussia Dortmund

11.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.8 5.6 3.1 1.3 0.4
1 6.3 10.4 8.6 4.8 2.0 0.7
2 4.8 8.0 6.7 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 2.5 4.1 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.541
λ Away (xG) 1.659
Total xG 3.200
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.460
Union Berlin attack strength 1.016
Union Berlin defence strength 0.992
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.145
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52