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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union Berlin Win

42%

Union Berlin

2.37

26%

Draw

3.79

31%

1. FC Köln

3.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Union Berlin xG

Total xG

2.77

1.27

1. FC Köln xG

42%
26%
31%
Union BerlinDraw1. FC Köln

2.37

42%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.19

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

28%

Union Berlin

3.55

22%

1. FC Köln

4.51

Win to Nil

12%

Union Berlin

8.40

7%

1. FC Köln

14.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.4 11.9 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.0 5.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.6 4.5 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 1.267
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.703
League avg away goals 1.443
Union Berlin attack strength 0.783
Union Berlin defence strength 1.134
1. FC Köln attack strength 0.774
1. FC Köln defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31