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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

18:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

58%

SC Freiburg

1.73

20%

Draw

5.07

23%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.75

1.42

VfL Wolfsburg xG

58%
20%
23%
SC FreiburgDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.73

58%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.46

31%

BTTS No

3.19

Clean Sheet

24%

SC Freiburg

4.15

10%

VfL Wolfsburg

10.29

Win to Nil

14%

SC Freiburg

7.19

2%

VfL Wolfsburg

45.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.3 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 5.5 7.8 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
2 6.4 9.1 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.9 7.0 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 2.9 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.331
λ Away (xG) 1.423
Total xG 3.754
League avg home goals 1.720
League avg away goals 1.482
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.040
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.969
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.991
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.303
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65