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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

57%

SC Freiburg

1.76

23%

Draw

4.33

20%

Union Berlin

4.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.15

1.14

Union Berlin xG

57%
23%
20%
SC FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin

1.76

57%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

4.98

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

32%

SC Freiburg

3.11

13%

Union Berlin

7.49

Win to Nil

18%

SC Freiburg

5.48

3%

Union Berlin

37.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.9 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.6 9.8 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.8 6.6 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.014
λ Away (xG) 1.136
Total xG 3.150
League avg home goals 1.662
League avg away goals 1.374
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.147
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.982
Union Berlin attack strength 0.842
Union Berlin defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59