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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

40%

SC Freiburg

2.48

24%

Draw

4.15

36%

RB Leipzig

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

3.04

1.46

RB Leipzig xG

40%
24%
36%
SC FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig

2.48

40%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

2.82

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

23%

SC Freiburg

4.31

21%

RB Leipzig

4.82

Win to Nil

9%

SC Freiburg

10.68

7%

RB Leipzig

13.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.0 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
1 7.6 11.1 8.1 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.7 6.4 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.1 4.6 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.573
λ Away (xG) 1.462
Total xG 3.035
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
SC Freiburg attack strength 0.973
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.944
RB Leipzig attack strength 1.038
RB Leipzig defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67