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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

36%

SC Freiburg

2.75

26%

Draw

3.89

38%

Borussia Dortmund

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

2.91

1.48

Borussia Dortmund xG

36%
26%
38%
SC FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.75

36%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

23%

SC Freiburg

4.37

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.21

Win to Nil

8%

SC Freiburg

12.04

9%

Borussia Dortmund

11.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.0 5.9 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.8 11.5 8.5 4.2 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.3 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.7 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 1.475
Total xG 2.913
League avg home goals 1.732
League avg away goals 1.403
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.138
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.936
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.123
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.729
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47