Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

58%

SC Freiburg

1.72

22%

Draw

4.51

20%

Borussia Dortmund

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

2.96

1.03

Borussia Dortmund xG

58%
22%
20%
SC FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund

1.72

58%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

36%

SC Freiburg

2.81

14%

Borussia Dortmund

6.91

Win to Nil

21%

SC Freiburg

4.82

3%

Borussia Dortmund

35.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.3 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
1 10.0 10.3 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.9 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.2 6.4 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.0 3.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.933
λ Away (xG) 1.032
Total xG 2.965
League avg home goals 1.527
League avg away goals 1.422
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.091
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.861
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.843
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61