Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Freiburg Win

41%

SC Freiburg

2.41

27%

Draw

3.71

32%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

2.58

1.18

Bayer Leverkusen xG

41%
27%
32%
SC FreiburgDrawBayer Leverkusen

2.41

41%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

31%

SC Freiburg

3.26

25%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.03

Win to Nil

13%

SC Freiburg

7.86

8%

Bayer Leverkusen

12.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.0 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.6 12.5 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.7 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.1 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.575
League avg home goals 1.707
League avg away goals 1.356
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.033
SC Freiburg defence strength 0.868
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.004
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.790
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58