Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

14:30

Venue

Europa-Park-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

33%

SC Freiburg

3.05

20%

Draw

4.94

47%

1899 Hoffenheim

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

SC Freiburg xG

Total xG

4.06

2.21

1899 Hoffenheim xG

33%
20%
47%
SC FreiburgDraw1899 Hoffenheim

3.05

33%

Home win

4.94

20%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

3.99

Clean Sheet

11%

SC Freiburg

9.16

16%

1899 Hoffenheim

6.31

Win to Nil

4%

SC Freiburg

27.97

7%

1899 Hoffenheim

13.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 3.8 4.2 3.1 1.7 0.8
1 3.2 7.1 7.8 5.8 3.2 1.4
2 2.9 6.5 7.2 5.3 2.9 1.3
3 1.8 4.0 4.4 3.3 1.8 0.8
4 0.8 1.8 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.4
5 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.842
λ Away (xG) 2.215
Total xG 4.057
League avg home goals 1.695
League avg away goals 1.686
SC Freiburg attack strength 1.050
SC Freiburg defence strength 1.069
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.229
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38