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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

14:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

44%

Hamburger SV

2.27

30%

Draw

3.28

25%

Union Berlin

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.42

1.01

Union Berlin xG

44%
30%
25%
Hamburger SVDrawUnion Berlin

2.27

44%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

36%

Hamburger SV

2.76

25%

Union Berlin

4.07

Win to Nil

16%

Hamburger SV

6.25

6%

Union Berlin

15.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.0 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.7 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.1 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.403
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 2.417
League avg home goals 1.657
League avg away goals 1.415
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.867
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.873
Union Berlin attack strength 0.821
Union Berlin defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 55