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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfB Stuttgart Win

33%

FSV Mainz 05

3.05

24%

Draw

4.21

43%

VfB Stuttgart

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.21

1.73

VfB Stuttgart xG

33%
24%
43%
FSV Mainz 05DrawVfB Stuttgart

3.05

33%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

18%

FSV Mainz 05

5.64

23%

VfB Stuttgart

4.38

Win to Nil

6%

FSV Mainz 05

17.18

10%

VfB Stuttgart

10.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.0 6.1 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 6.0 10.3 8.9 5.2 2.2 0.8
2 4.4 7.6 6.6 3.8 1.6 0.6
3 2.2 3.8 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.478
λ Away (xG) 1.729
Total xG 3.207
League avg home goals 1.707
League avg away goals 1.356
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.836
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.900
VfB Stuttgart attack strength 1.416
VfB Stuttgart defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58