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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

14:30

Venue

MEWA ARENA

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

56%

FSV Mainz 05

1.78

24%

Draw

4.21

20%

FC Augsburg

5.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

2.70

0.95

FC Augsburg xG

56%
24%
20%
FSV Mainz 05DrawFC Augsburg

1.78

56%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

5.01

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

39%

FSV Mainz 05

2.58

17%

FC Augsburg

5.79

Win to Nil

22%

FSV Mainz 05

4.58

3%

FC Augsburg

29.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.3 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.8 11.1 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.8 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.756
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.770
League avg away goals 1.400
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.939
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.740
FC Augsburg attack strength 0.913
FC Augsburg defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54