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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

14:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FSV Mainz 05 Win

45%

FSV Mainz 05

2.22

24%

Draw

4.21

31%

Eintracht Frankfurt

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.10

1.39

Eintracht Frankfurt xG

45%
24%
31%
FSV Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt

2.22

45%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

25%

FSV Mainz 05

4.01

18%

Eintracht Frankfurt

5.52

Win to Nil

11%

FSV Mainz 05

8.93

6%

Eintracht Frankfurt

17.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 6.3 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.7 10.7 7.4 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.2 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.7 5.2 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.708
λ Away (xG) 1.390
Total xG 3.098
League avg home goals 1.688
League avg away goals 1.358
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.876
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 0.915
Eintracht Frankfurt attack strength 1.118
Eintracht Frankfurt defence strength 1.156
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60