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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:30

Venue

Mewa Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1899 Hoffenheim Win

22%

FSV Mainz 05

4.63

21%

Draw

4.78

57%

1899 Hoffenheim

1.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

0 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

FSV Mainz 05 xG

Total xG

3.29

2.08

1899 Hoffenheim xG

22%
21%
57%
FSV Mainz 05Draw1899 Hoffenheim

4.63

22%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

1.74

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

12%

FSV Mainz 05

8.04

30%

1899 Hoffenheim

3.35

Win to Nil

3%

FSV Mainz 05

37.21

17%

1899 Hoffenheim

5.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.7 8.1 5.6 2.9 1.2
1 4.5 9.4 9.7 6.8 3.5 1.5
2 2.7 5.7 5.9 4.1 2.1 0.9
3 1.1 2.3 2.4 1.7 0.9 0.4
4 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 2.085
Total xG 3.295
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.457
FSV Mainz 05 attack strength 0.794
FSV Mainz 05 defence strength 1.086
1899 Hoffenheim attack strength 1.317
1899 Hoffenheim defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44