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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VfL Wolfsburg Win

34%

FC St. Pauli

2.92

24%

Draw

4.08

41%

VfL Wolfsburg

2.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.94

1.55

VfL Wolfsburg xG

34%
24%
41%
FC St. PauliDrawVfL Wolfsburg

2.92

34%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

2.42

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

21%

FC St. Pauli

4.71

25%

VfL Wolfsburg

4.03

Win to Nil

7%

FC St. Pauli

13.75

10%

VfL Wolfsburg

9.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 8.2 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.4
1 7.3 11.4 8.8 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 5.1 7.9 6.1 3.2 1.2 0.4
3 2.4 3.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.550
Total xG 2.943
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.662
FC St. Pauli defence strength 1.085
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.958
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67