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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

14:30

Venue

Millerntor-Stadion

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC St. Pauli Win

37%

FC St. Pauli

2.72

32%

Draw

3.10

31%

Borussia Dortmund

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

FC St. Pauli xG

Total xG

2.30

1.09

Borussia Dortmund xG

37%
32%
31%
FC St. PauliDrawBorussia Dortmund

2.72

37%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

34%

FC St. Pauli

2.97

30%

Borussia Dortmund

3.35

Win to Nil

12%

FC St. Pauli

8.06

9%

Borussia Dortmund

10.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 10.9 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 13.2 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 8.0 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.209
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.297
League avg home goals 1.674
League avg away goals 1.344
FC St. Pauli attack strength 0.598
FC St. Pauli defence strength 0.919
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 0.881
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57