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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

16:30

Venue

Voith-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Holstein Kiel Win

26%

1. FC Heidenheim

3.86

24%

Draw

4.11

50%

Holstein Kiel

2.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

1. FC Heidenheim xG

Total xG

3.15

1.86

Holstein Kiel xG

26%
24%
50%
1. FC HeidenheimDrawHolstein Kiel

3.86

26%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

2.01

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

16%

1. FC Heidenheim

6.40

27%

Holstein Kiel

3.65

Win to Nil

4%

1. FC Heidenheim

24.71

14%

Holstein Kiel

7.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 8.0 7.4 4.6 2.1 0.8
1 5.5 10.3 9.6 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.6 6.7 6.2 3.8 1.8 0.7
3 1.5 2.9 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.294
λ Away (xG) 1.856
Total xG 3.150
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.406
1. FC Heidenheim attack strength 0.621
1. FC Heidenheim defence strength 1.297
Holstein Kiel attack strength 1.017
Holstein Kiel defence strength 1.365
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 25