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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

67%

Borussia Dortmund

1.49

19%

Draw

5.17

14%

Hamburger SV

7.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

2.99

0.85

Hamburger SV xG

67%
19%
14%
Borussia DortmundDrawHamburger SV

1.49

67%

Home win

5.17

19%

Draw

7.32

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

43%

Borussia Dortmund

2.34

12%

Hamburger SV

8.52

Win to Nil

29%

Borussia Dortmund

3.50

2%

Hamburger SV

62.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 9.1 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 11.5 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.2 7.0 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.4 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.143
λ Away (xG) 0.851
Total xG 2.994
League avg home goals 1.681
League avg away goals 1.349
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.322
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.833
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.757
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 26