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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayern München Win

31%

Borussia Dortmund

3.27

22%

Draw

4.47

47%

Bayern München

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.58

1.99

Bayern München xG

31%
22%
47%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern München

3.27

31%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.23

Clean Sheet

14%

Borussia Dortmund

7.34

20%

Bayern München

4.88

Win to Nil

4%

Borussia Dortmund

24.04

10%

Bayern München

10.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 5.6 5.5 3.7 1.8 0.7
1 4.4 8.8 8.8 5.8 2.9 1.2
2 3.5 7.0 7.0 4.6 2.3 0.9
3 1.9 3.7 3.7 2.4 1.2 0.5
4 0.7 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.585
λ Away (xG) 1.994
Total xG 3.579
League avg home goals 1.696
League avg away goals 1.368
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.340
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.821
Bayern München attack strength 1.774
Bayern München defence strength 0.697
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57