Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

Signal Iduna Park

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Borussia Dortmund Win

57%

Borussia Dortmund

1.77

20%

Draw

4.89

23%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

3 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Borussia Dortmund xG

Total xG

3.68

1.41

Bayer Leverkusen xG

57%
20%
23%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen

1.77

57%

Home win

4.89

20%

Draw

4.36

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.13

Clean Sheet

24%

Borussia Dortmund

4.09

10%

Bayer Leverkusen

9.66

Win to Nil

14%

Borussia Dortmund

7.22

2%

Bayer Leverkusen

42.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 3.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 5.7 8.1 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.9 6.9 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 2.8 3.9 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.268
λ Away (xG) 1.408
Total xG 3.676
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.458
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.333
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.877
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.101
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62