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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

66%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.52

19%

Draw

5.15

15%

VfL Wolfsburg

6.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.13

0.94

VfL Wolfsburg xG

66%
19%
15%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Wolfsburg

1.52

66%

Home win

5.15

19%

Draw

6.69

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

39%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.57

11%

VfL Wolfsburg

8.94

Win to Nil

26%

Bayer Leverkusen

3.91

2%

VfL Wolfsburg

59.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.5 9.0 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.9 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 7.6 7.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
4 4.2 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.190
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 3.133
League avg home goals 1.692
League avg away goals 1.393
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.076
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.782
VfL Wolfsburg attack strength 0.866
VfL Wolfsburg defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61