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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

14:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

72%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.38

15%

Draw

6.51

12%

Hamburger SV

8.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.2%

Home win

3 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.75

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

3.83

1.08

Hamburger SV xG

72%
15%
12%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHamburger SV

1.38

72%

Home win

6.51

15%

Draw

8.07

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

34%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.96

6%

Hamburger SV

15.63

Win to Nil

24%

Bayer Leverkusen

4.09

1%

Hamburger SV

126.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
1 6.0 6.4 3.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 8.2 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 7.5 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 5.2 5.6 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.749
λ Away (xG) 1.084
Total xG 3.833
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.492
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.334
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.922
Hamburger SV attack strength 0.788
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.198
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33