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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

17:30

Venue

BayArena

Competition

Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bayer Leverkusen Win

53%

Bayer Leverkusen

1.88

25%

Draw

4.01

22%

Borussia Dortmund

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Total xG

2.71

1.01

Borussia Dortmund xG

53%
25%
22%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund

1.88

53%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

37%

Bayer Leverkusen

2.74

18%

Borussia Dortmund

5.46

Win to Nil

19%

Bayer Leverkusen

5.15

4%

Borussia Dortmund

24.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.7 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.4 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.7 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.698
λ Away (xG) 1.007
Total xG 2.705
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.470
Bayer Leverkusen attack strength 1.325
Bayer Leverkusen defence strength 0.678
Borussia Dortmund attack strength 1.010
Borussia Dortmund defence strength 0.781
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45